It is needed, though. Too many people would die if only the most sick and old people would be safe (not like it can be done, of course but some steps may be made). Disrupting life is inavoidable. Grandparents couldn’t be with their other family members, not quite healthy important people should stay at home and so on.
Oh and if just a few percentages of all people need a hospital bed in a too short time… That’s too much, fatality rate go up even if the case isn’t too serious but it becomes that without any care…
We need to do what we do now, at least, to mitigate losses and problems. I am glad goverments around here aren’t the downplaying type, I wouldn’t be happy with millions of cases in this tiny country where hospital stuff is overwhelmed to begin with (very underpaid and overworked, I find it amazing we have doctors and nurses at all. not personal information as I don’t even go near hospitals, usually. my ability to avoid them is useful if a country has a totally overwhelmed medical care. I’ve read an article and yep, it makes sense… if we don’t flatten the curve, any medical help easily will be sluggish and/or inadequate or simply non-existent due to triage).
We can’t predict this yet. I see no slowing. Chinese doesn’t matter, they did it great, Italy don’t. More cases every day, the same with Spain and the US. Few tests, long incubation period, there are surely way, way more cases and some of them are very serious but there are no symptoms yet.
It just started, I still say this. No exponential grows this far but we can’t say there won’t be several millions of deaths, we simply have no data to know that. I really hope there won’t but it’s pretty clear it would be if we wouldn’t care, we have enough data to make some educated guesses - with a vague range but it will be enough to take things seriously.
I don’t even understand. How anyone can consider it not very serious when we just look at Italy? Some other countries will have that many cases soon, maybe it’s no such a big deal for the US but there will be lots of small European countries, with many too fragile persons and a not necessarily ready health care system… It will hit them hard. No one knows how hard but it’s serious.
But I thought and wrote about these things enough, I try to focus to my life, I don’t need to worry about myself anyway. And it’s so pointless.
We can talk about a few months later. Oh, the flu numbers, I consider comparing the numbers very unfair 2-3 weeks after the first cases appeared in many countries… Even the people who got infected right then usually still fighting with the virus. There are too few closed cases yet and the numbers will be very different for different countries, we already see this and it’s quite obvious anyway as many important factors are different.
Talk about numbers later. We surely will see things differently even in 2 months but if someone want to compare flu vs coronavirus death numbers, let’s wait more. How long is a flu season? Several months?
And I just hope it really will be over in a few months. Probably not but almost…? If we will have a vaccine, that would be “enough”, this will be just one of the usual serious sicknesses. Until it mutates in an interesting way, one can never know, viruses do that all the time but pandemics are somewhat rare (they happen too often to my liking, I was so okay without any in my life until now).