I have some thought experiments. Consider this data from Fire in a Bottle:
Basically, he eats a one of food beginning Jan 2 in the evening. Not how his resting output goes up (he has a $7,500 tester).
When you see studies of people, the studies seem to assume that energy expenditure is relatively fixed. I think that’s untrue. If you eat more, your body should (attempt to) burn more. This is why they can put young, healthy people on very high caloric diets, and they might not gain any or much weight.