That’s an interesting theory. I don’t think I’ve seen any real data on that.
I will say, however, that I gave up tracking ketones after years of doing so. I found the meters themselves not to be great (have one picture - somewhere - where I have three meters, one showing 0.2, one 0.4, and one 0.8). And, these values change for reasons that are not obvious.
Here is what I THINK should happen, though. If you are transitioning from lower calorie to higher calorie, you should get a higher ketone level initially (not sure exactly how long), because there is a “backup” of energy, and your body converts excess calories into more ketones. Dave Feldman experienced this:
Hypo = low calorie, hyper = high calorie, if you don’t know this.
To me, this explains a lot, including why if I ate a lot of fat one day, my ketones would (most times - again there’s a high variance) go up. I think it’s a “clogging” of the energy system.