Here is the study.
A LIMIT ON THE ENERGY TRANSFER RATE FROM THE HUMAN FAT STORE IN HYPOPHAGIA – ALPERT (2005)
file:///C:/Users/pc/Downloads/For%20Zen.pdf
There are several points which make it clear to me that the value of 31.5 calories per pound may be massively inaccurate for people on a ketogenic diet.
First of all the data used in the model they developed is taken from the Minisota starvation experiment. This was a population of fit young men placed into semi-starvation for 24 weeks such that they lost about 2/3 of their fat mass in that time. They were being fed a diet meant to approximate the diet in wartime Europe at the time of potatoes, rutabagas, turnips, bread, and macaroni. The diet was so severe that the participants reported all sorts of psychological and physiological problems during that time.
Second there were only two measurements other that the original baseline of the fat mass of the participants, one at 12 weeks and one at 24. This seems problematic to me for extrapolating to a population that is not stressed by starvation. By 12 weeks the participants had already loss HALF their fat mass, and these were originally fit men, so they did not have huge body fat stores.
Finally the authors themselves say quite correctly that:
We do not know the individual variability of the maximum transfer factor or whether or not it can be applied to other populations under different conditions.
Honestly, I see no reason to assume that it can. Fat transfer rates might be very, very different when the body is not stressed by a need for it’s own calorie stores while under a high insulin load.